The first cold spell of Winter 2010/11 will happen at the start of next week and could last all the way into the start of December. November has stayed wetter than previously thought as a couple of deep Lows have brought a lot of rain to Ireland but as the last one pushes away to end this week an area of High Pressure around Iceland is menacing in its plans. It looks like settling just to the North West of Ireland and the Winds will be East and then North at the end of the month bringing an increasing risk of snow to end the month.
The month of December still looks cold too but we still would not go as far as saying it will be as cold as other long range forecasters are predicting. An average temperature of around 4c would be the weathergossip consensus but this is a lot higher than other indexes so we stand corrected if need be. Certainly there will be some heavy frost and ice in this month and we just think that there will be some short interludes of milder weather bringing the temperature up by a degree or two. Single figure temperatures certainly look the norm for Ireland this Winter as opposed to 1998 for example when we has temperatures of 10 to 13c in parts of December and January.
As for this January 2011 it looks like being cold and unsettled with rain at times and some snow early in the month. After January it looks like conditions will get milder once again but its a long way off so the forecast will be updated once it gets completely inaccurate once more.